Nigeria Will Cease To Exist if 2027 Elections Are Rigged — Ex-Tinubu Aide Warns [VIDEO]

 

The fragile threads holding Nigeria’s democratic experiment together may unravel completely if the 2027 general elections are manipulated, according to a stark warning from Dr. Hakeem Baba-Ahmed, a respected political voice and former Special Adviser on political matters to President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

During a public discourse that has since set off ripples across the country’s political landscape, Baba-Ahmed sounded the alarm over the potential consequences of any electoral malpractice in the forthcoming election cycle. His declaration, “Nigeria will cease to exist if Tinubu rigs the election in 2027,” was not made lightly—and has been interpreted by many as a dire forecast of what lies ahead if the country's democratic principles are undermined.

The former presidential aide, now a prominent member of the Northern Elders Forum (NEF), did not mince words. He described the current socio-political atmosphere as dangerously volatile, citing the growing discontent among citizens over worsening insecurity, economic despair, and the increasing sense of exclusion felt across various regions.

“A rigged election in 2027 will not just be a political misstep,” he stated. “It will be a national catastrophe. The country is sitting on a keg of gunpowder, and what we do over the next few years—especially as it concerns democratic credibility—will determine whether we implode or evolve.”

The warning comes amid rising political tension and a string of by-elections and legal challenges that have spotlighted the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and the judiciary. Both institutions have been under scrutiny, with critics alleging systemic weaknesses that could be exploited in a future electoral showdown.

Baba-Ahmed’s comments have sparked reactions across party lines. While opposition voices praised his candor, calling it “a wake-up call for Nigerians,” supporters of the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) have accused him of stoking division and fear-mongering.

However, many political observers note that his relationship with President Tinubu, though once close, has cooled significantly in recent years. As such, his statements are viewed by some analysts as coming from a place of deep concern rather than political vendetta.

“Nigeria’s unity has always been fragile,” said Dr. Kemi Ogunyemi, a political science lecturer at the University of Ibadan. “But this is one of the most explicit public warnings we’ve heard from someone who has been at the heart of the political system. It means something.”

Baba-Ahmed also raised concerns over the growing loss of public trust in state institutions. He warned that if Nigerians feel their votes no longer matter, then the legitimacy of any government formed through manipulated processes would be fundamentally compromised.

“The electorate must be respected,” he stressed. “It is not enough to build roads or offer palliatives. Leaders must derive their mandate through transparent and credible processes. If the people perceive otherwise in 2027, they will not simply grumble. The backlash will be unprecedented.”

Nigerians have increasingly expressed disillusionment with the political elite, with many accusing successive governments of paying lip service to reforms. The 2023 elections, which brought Tinubu to power, were themselves mired in controversy, with several local and international observers citing technical glitches, delays, and allegations of vote suppression.

Against this backdrop, Baba-Ahmed's remarks are being seen as an early challenge to the Tinubu administration and a broader political class that is yet to fully reckon with the level of frustration simmering beneath the surface.

Civil society groups have also echoed Baba-Ahmed’s concerns, urging the government and electoral bodies to begin immediate preparations to ensure a free and fair contest in 2027. Transparency in voter registration, neutrality of security agencies, and judicial independence have all been flagged as key benchmarks to avoid the kind of political implosion Baba-Ahmed fears.

Across social media, hashtags like #2027WeMustVote and #ProtectNigeriaNow began trending within hours of the statement, showing that many citizens are tuning in to the gravity of the warning.

As Nigeria hurtles toward another pivotal electoral season, one thing is clear: the stakes have never been higher. Whether this warning serves as a turning point or becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy will depend on how seriously it is taken—by both the people and those in power.

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